In six months, Morrison could have crushed it in. Shame the election is now.
So the election has been called. What’s going to be the deciding factor?
We like to think it’s about big-picture vision and value positions. It’s about the issues.
But it’s not. It’s the economy, stupid.
I don’t think Bill Clinton ever expected that that little quip would be one of the most lasting contributions of his “legacy”, but it is exactly right. People need to feel secure first and foremost. The economy has to be delivering real jobs and a decent standard of living.
If it’s not, everything else is a side-show.
And on that front, you’d have to think the economic tides are with Morrison.
And they are to a degree. The economy continues to perform reasonable well, especially on the most important metric that matters – employment.
Employment growth is easing, but it remains decent. And most importantly, the number of jobs is growing faster than out labour force population, and the unemployment rate continues to fall.
At 5%, it’s a pretty decent outcome, all things considered. By itself, it’s certainly not a ‘turf them out’ type number.
But there are problems for Morrison that are hidden behind this headline number.
The first is that employment growth is uneven. Some sectors, especially the public sectors, are doing well. Others, particularly mining and construction, less so.
That patchiness can create ‘pockets of pain’ in the economy. It can create segments were unemployment is concentrated, and political venom starts to pool. Think the mining communities of Far North Queensland, for example. It’s not possible for a miner who’s lost his job in Townsville to just go and become and community care worker in inner-city Melbourne, for example.
The other headache for Morrison is that while people have jobs, wages growth has been… what’s the economic term? Piss poor.
Wages growth has been hobbling around 2%, which means that people probably feel they’re going backwards in real terms. Technically, it’s still outpacing inflation, but I think that’s probably only a technicality. Ask around and I don’t think people will tell you that they’re keeping pace with the cost of living – especially with energy prices becoming a real pain point.
So that’s a headache for Morrison. It’s something that can shift the electoral dial.
The real irony here though is that wages are actually starting to pick up. Take a look at the chart and you can see that yes, wages growth is relatively low by historical standards, but it has definitely ticked up in recent months.
And the NAB survey is showing that more and more firms are reporting difficulty finding suitable labour.
So wages pressures are building. We’re still six months to a year away from this feeling like things are really on the up and up for everybody, but it’s coming.
So Morrison must be spewing. If only the election could have been called six months later. He probably could have ridden a growing sense of optimism to victory.
But instead, people are still grumbly, There’s not a lot of gratitude in the community.
And if Morrison loses and Labor wins, they’ll enjoy a very sweet honey-moon period as wages continue to pick up and households enjoy the boost in confidence. Even though they’ll have done nothing to deserve it.
That’s just how the cards have landed. Tough break, ScoMo.
The Government is acting in treason by calling a Election now because senator Rodney Collation has served Notices on every minister in Parliament and lawfully, this should be dealt with and finalised first before a Election can be held. But as usual the Government is disregarding this point in Law and are doing as they please. They have not told the Public that this is the reason why Julie Bishop and at least 5 other ministers have retired/resigned also.
The Duopoly that is kept in place because of the preferential voting system and ballots corruption as well as (using a pencil vote, sure so your vote can be altered) has to go.
Are we not in a democracy? why do we get to choose between 2 Parties only? Worse or worse? Does that not ring alarm bells, right there?
For real change we need more Independents and Minor Parties in the Senate that have been dominant with Liberal and Labour Ministers for way too long.
Senator Rodney Culleton has started GAP the Great Australian Party not to be confused with Clive Palmers United Australian Party. He has the Australian Government very concerned by taking his unlawful dismissal from the Senate, and filing paperwork directly with the House of Lords, Privy Council in the UK, exposing the treasonous actions of the Australian Parliament and telling them to fix it. Outcome still in process.
This is a man to vote for. If you do not know how he has created history you need to look him up.
On Voting Day 1, Use a black ink Pen
2 .on the House of Representatives form Vote Independents andMinor parties 1 and 2 and place liberal and Labour last.
3 On the Senate form. do not number any above the line and number 1 to 12 below the line filling in boxes for any Independents and Minor parties of your choice.
This way your vote will not indirectly go to Liberal or Labour, and we will get more Independents in Parliament to take away the power from the Duopoly and stop the dealing going on between them to the detriment of the people of Australia.
Time for real change, which will come if even one of GAPS guys get in because they are implementing the Commonwealth Constitution that supersedes the Corporate Government with the fiction created Corporate Queen Of Australia that the existing Government unlawfully created. (the reason Culleton got removed from the Senate.)
Exciting times lay ahead, Not that Main Stream News is letting the people of Australia know about it, so as to protect the embarrassment off the Australian Government that would be exposed.
If you do not know about any of this ,Google Senator Rodney Culleton and find out what the Governments Duopolies biggest nightmare if the public were to know is about.