Knowledge Source

Your freedom to create wealth...

  • Home
  • Real Estate
  • Business
  • Success
  • No BS Friday
  • Video
    • Student Stories
    • Training Events
  • Contact
  • Experts
    • Jon Giaan
    • Dymphna Boholt
    • Mark Rolton
    • Sophie Howard
    • Kevin Doodney
    • Mark Baker
    • George Fokas
    • Spiro Kladis
    • Graeme Holm
    • Rachel Rofe
  • Live Events
  • Online Events
You are here: Home / Archives for Most Popular

If you hate the rich, you'll always be poor. Here's why…

November 12, 2013 by Jon

paris-hilton-3019

After the heavy-duty debate on gold and the emotion that it triggered, I think it’s appropriate to talk about this…

It’s not something that a lot of people realise, but the road to wealth and financial security often demands a high-level of emotional intelligence.

Not always, of course. A lot of people make it into the upper echelons of wealth-dom without ever tuning into their own feelings. But for the kind of work that I do, and the kind of help that I offer people, a bit of emotional intelligence is essential.

For example, how do you feel about Paris Hilton?

When you think about all of her ‘obscene’ wealth – the cars, the jewellery, the Hollywood parties… when you remember that she’s never done a real day’s work in her life… when you realise that she commands more media attention than the Dalai Lama, but has less to contribute than a telletubby…

How do you feel about that?

If you’re like a lot of people I know, the emotional flavour tends to a sort of ‘condescending amusement.’

It’s a seductive emotional state. It makes you feel good. “I may not have a lot of respect, but at least I’m not that much of idiot. I may not have a lot of success, but at least I know the value of a hard day’s work. Maybe no-one cares about what I think, but at least I have opinions more sophisticated than a recipe for chocolate crackle.”

We live in an age where we are fully encouraged to give the dogs of judgement completely free rein. It’s the age of reality television (though I don’t know how much ‘reality’ there is in throwing a bunch of strangers into a completely contrived, studio-based situation…) But the primary commodity that reality television sells is ‘recreational judgement’.

We’re encouraged to sit around a bowl of pop-corn and have a good ‘ol judge.

“O.M.G she is such an idiot!”

“I can’t believe he just said that!”

“What is she doing? Who told her she could sing?”

And in case we’re missing the cue to flex our judgement muscles, put three authoritative ‘judges’ in some massive over-sized chairs, just to lead us through it.

(And then at the end, throw in some feel good, rags to riches, story of success we can all rally around and maintain the internal narrative that we are essential supportive and loving people – not completely lost to the demons of judgement and spite.)

But there’s a real danger in spending too long in this kind of space.

This is the lesson of ‘neuro-plasticity’. The more we practice something, the better we get at it – in all aspects of our life.

So if we spend a lot of time flexing our judgement muscles, they’ll get bigger. We’ll become judgment machines.

There’s a terrible danger in this, and I reckon society is completely blind to it.

Because the same muscles (neural pathways) we use to judge others, are exactly the same muscles we use to judge ourselves.

And so the more critical we become of others, the more critical we become of ourselves.

“judge not, lest ye be judged.”

And hating yourself is the surest path to unhappiness.

And the rub is that the more critical we are of ourselves, the more likely we are to being seduced by the recreational judgement of others. Paris Hilton is more of an idiot than me. That makes me feel good (well, less bad).

But it’s total mental junkfood, in that leaves you worse off in the long run. Because with the same thought that you’re judging Paris Hilton, you reaffirming the statement that you are also an idiot AND you’re building up your judgement muscles.

Don’t do it to yourself.

It’s a road to damaged and broken self-esteem. And it scares me that this is where we’re going as a society.

If there was a petition to ban reality (or recreational judgment) TV, I’d be the first to sign.

But I’m not in the business of lecturing psychology or social engineering. I’m in the business of helping my friends (and I consider every client a friend) find the road to financial security and wealth.

(And my guess is that you’re here for wealth tips, not amateur arm-chair psychology.)

So let me say then that unchecked judgement will become a major barrier to achieving the wealth you’re after, if you’re not careful.

Why?

Because why are you really judging Paris? Do you hate people less intelligent or less educated than yourself? No, my bet is you generally have compassion for those less fortunate than yourself in the brainy stakes.

Or do you hate people who don’t work? (hang on, aren’t you here because you want to spend less time working for the man, and more time hanging with friends and family and doing what you want?)

Or do you hate people who are wealthy and successful? But again, isn’t that why you read these posts. (I’m sure it’s not for the dazzling writing or even the technically correct use of grammar and punctuation.)

Even if it’s only at a mild and modest level, can you see what happens if we set up that kind of contradiction within ourselves? If we aspire to wealth and success, but freely judge those who are wealthy and successful?

We are asking ourselves to become the kind of person we don’t like.

Why would we do that? We beat ourselves up enough already. Why would we want to take more of that kind of punishment on?

And so a subtle level (even a vibrational level if you want to get all new-agey about it) we’re creating a resistance to exactly the kind of story we’re trying to call down for ourselves.

And so we won’t call down the opportunities we need, or if they do come, we’ll be unable to act.

No, we have to be careful. We need to be fully at peace with the journey we’re asking life to take us on. We need to feel it out, and feel joyful and expansive about it.

It takes work. It takes emotional intelligence. And it takes powerful discernment.

But not judgment. Leave all that judgement behind. It’s not yours.

Travel light and quickly, and with a joyous song in your heart.

And the road will come easy.

Filed Under: Blog, General, Most Popular, Success

Investing in a Rigged Game

November 8, 2013 by Jon

iStock_000011242544Small

I just wanted to follow up on a couple of the comments I got on my last post.

In that post, in cased you missed it (it was a cracker), I explained why I wasn’t buying gold.

I don’t think the price will go up, (more than likely will have further to fall from here) so I’m not a gold speculator. And I don’t really think gold at these prices will protect my wealth should there be some sort of economic calamity. I’m not a gold insurer.

And I’m not a gold investor, because gold doesn’t pay you any returns.

So I’m not buying gold.

Now, pretty much every time I run this line (in these blogs, at dinner parties, at committal hearings) people accuse me of having my head in the sand.

The system’s corrupt, our currencies are fantasies, a global meltdown in inevitable.

Winter is coming.

So first of all, let me make it clear that I’m not some profit/loss Pollyanna, skipping through sunlit fields of blue birds and butterflies.

I’m well aware that there are dozens of icebergs lurking in these waters. At any one time, there are dozens of roads that would take us to economic ruin town.

But will they?

Murphy’s Law doesn’t apply to economics. Just because something could go wrong, does NOT mean that it will go wrong.

I mean I could think of any number of scenarios that could lead to a house price bust from here.

Maybe for some reason the US banks decided to monetise their massive balance sheets. This leads to run away inflation in the US. The world’s reserve currency collapses, global trade shrivels up, Australia follows the rest of the world into depression.

Maybe the reform program in China comes off the rails, or the Chinese property bubble pops. Chinese demand shrinks, wiping out what’s left of the mining sector’s contribution to the Australian economy. Incomes fall, unemployment rises, and the collapse in housing demand leads to a ‘Steve Keen’ correction to prices.

Or maybe the Italians and Spaniards follow Greece into debt delinquency, the European Union collapses, Germany starts an “Occupy Rome” movement, and the following debt crisis paralyses global credit markets. Home lending at home freezes.

I’m not ignorant to the risks.

They’re all perfectly reasonable scenarios. All perfectly feasible. And if they did occur, future generations would wonder how we could have been so blind to the risks. Hindsight is 20/20.

But the question is not ‘could’ they happen? But ‘will’ they happen? Just because the trigger exists, doesn’t mean it will be pulled.

People have been talking about all sorts of economic boogeymen since before the dog was a pup – the break-away colony of America, the rise of fascism, communism, the departure from the gold standard.

Oh that last one was a classic. People were predicting that the new currency wouldn’t last five years. That gold was again the only way to store your value.

But that was over 40 years ago.

That’s not to say that there were no risks. There were risks. There still are. It just didn’t play out that way.

There are always things that could go wrong.

But I tend to think that a heightened level of risk is just the price you pay for living in a complex global economy. It’s like driving a sports car. If your top speed is 240km/hr, then there’s obviously a lot more that could go seriously wrong.

But that’s also the point.

Likewise, we live in an era of unprecedented leverage, trade and economic speed. There are more risks associated with such a system, but I for one wouldn’t be taking us back to the 1950s.

As much as I love Elvis.

The other argument I don’t get in all this is from all those people crippled by conspiracy theories.

The central banks are owned by space reptiles. The currency has no real value. The Illuminati pulls the strings of government. The whole financial system is about implode. Justin Beiber has genetically modified talent.

Again, I’m not saying I’m ignorant to the stories that are out there. And I certainly believe that if individuals found themselves with the ways and means to twist the fate of the planet to their own benefit, they would.

And there’s a lot of things about 9-11 and the GFC that make me very, very suspicious.

But what I don’t understand is why this is a reason to buy gold.

I mean, if there was going to be a market that the Illuminati would get their claws into first, surely it would be gold.

And according to the official figures (as much as you can believe them) the biggest holders of gold are the global central banks. They account for 18% of the gold ever mined. And 72% of that is held in the US (most of it belonging to foreign central banks).

(Just why does Bundesbank store their gold at Fort Knox?)

So what would the central banks do if the sh$t hit the fan? Would they resign themselves to the will of the market? I doubt it.

To me, gold seems like a very unlikely commodity to put your faith in. Particularly if you don’t actually have the gold sitting in your basement.

“Excuse me space reptile, but now that Armageddon is here I’d like to exchange this piece of paper for some shiny metal.”

But who knows what the actual truth is. I don’t. And if I did I’d probably be lock up in Guantanamo Bay.

But am I going to let this stop me from getting ahead in life?

No way!

You’ve just got to do the best you can with what you’ve got. Life’s just like that.

Maybe the game is rigged, but it’s still a game. And it’s a game that’s treated me very well up til now.

You can’t conscientiously object to the current economic system (which is not to say we couldn’t change it over time if we all worked on it). But for now, it’s all there is.

And so you’ve just got to do your best with what there is. Be the best person you can be. Invest your money as best you can. Be a loving friend and family member.

Choose to be an active investor. Not a side-line philosopher.

One last thing… Sometimes I read the comments on my blog and think, “Dude, we’re just not meant to be together.”

Oil and water don’t mix.

I don’t mind people disagreeing with me, I’m always happy to consider another view of the world. But if you vehementtly oppose my views, opinions and call me an idiot then I suggest you get off my bus and find yourself another one that’s a bit more to your philosophical views and likings.

Filed Under: Blog, General, Most Popular, Property Investing, Real Estate Topics, Share Market

Gold is NOT a safe investment

November 6, 2013 by Jon

This will surely create some controversy…. Add to that the conspiracy theories and certain stock market reports that use gold as the ultimate fear-axis to get attention, what you end up with is a lot of disillusioned and misled investors.

The only truth is the result.

If you only had one chart to wrap up what’s happening in global markets right now, it would be this one – The price of Gold.

Screen Shot 2013-11-06 at 10.36.42 am

Since a 2011 peak at around $1900 an ounce, the price of gold dipped… and then sank… and is now trading around $1300 an ounce, with every threat that it could be falling further.

That’s a 30% fall in less than two years.

The golden days of gold seem to have run their course. For a long while it could do no wrong, from a launching pad of around $250 an ounce before the turn of the millennium, it posted gains from pad to peak of over 600%.

And all this through the most ‘challenging’ of economic times – through the popping of the dot.com bubble, the Enron scandals, The Iraq wars, and even the GFC.

Gold was the thinking man’s safe haven of choice.

But not this year. Gold’s been on the skids since George Soros indicated in April that he thought that gold was no longer the safe haven it used to be, and the smart money was getting out. Then in October, Goldman Sachs’ head of commodities research said gold was a “slam dunk” sell and that it was headed for $1,050 an ounce.

(No, I don’t know what a ‘slam dunk’ sell is, but it sounds serious.)

But you still hear people saying that gold is a ‘safe investment’.

So let me spell it out loud and clear, in flashing neon lights…

GOLD IS NOT A SAFE INVESTMENT

First of all the idea that gold is ‘safe’ is ludicrous now. “Safe” investments are things like term deposits, that pay you a predictable amount of sod-all a year, with zero volatility.

“Safe” investments DO NOT fall by 30% in 18 months, or have volatile lurches in price every time Bernanke farts.

Secondly, as I’ve argued, gold is not really an ‘investment’. Not as I see it. Gold doesn’t pay you a return. There’s no rent or dividends.

If you’re buying gold, then you’re probably doing it for one of two reasons. The first is that you expect that the price will keep going up, and you’ll be able to sell it for more than you bought it. This isn’t gold investing, this is gold speculating.

But if you’re speculating then you’re completely at the mercy of the market. You’re “investment” is only worth as much as everyone thinks it’s worth, and if George Soros tells everyone that it’s not worth as much as they thought it was worth, then you take a hit.

The second reason people have bought gold, especially since the GFC and the launch of the Quantitative Easing era, is as a way to preserve wealth in the face of global economic calamity. If the economic system completely melts down, or even if we only have run away inflation, then gold offers you a way to preserve your wealth.

In this sense, it’s really just a shiny insurance policy.

But you know, I’ve never really understood this.

Let’s say a door-to-door sales comes to your house and offers to sell you zombie apocalypse insurance.

“If you pay us a certain fee, we promise to return your wealth to current levels, should there be a zombie apocalypse.”

There’s a few things you’ve got to ask yourself.

  1. How did this guy get past the security gate?
  2. How likely do I think a zombie apocalypse actually is?
  3. If there is a zombie apocalypse, is this guy actually going to be able do what he’s promising? If the world is actually taken over by brain-eating zombies, who’s going to give me my pay-out? What will a pay-out even be worth if I don’t own a shot gun?

Now, when it comes to gold, I think most people get to 2., but never make it to 3.

What’s the risk of total economic melt down? I’d actually have to say to me, it looks like an incredibly small risk. Our standards of living are built on the foundations that the current economic system survives and prospers. Everyone wants to see the game continue – from the vested interests of Wall Street, to the mums and dads of back street Australia.

So a bet that the economic system will fail is to bet against the ingenuity and endeavour of the entire human population. I’ve seen humans do some pretty crazy and amazing stuff. For my money, if we had to find a way to avoid economic ruin, I reckon we could. We have the social, political and technological will.

But more to the point, if the economic system did collapse, what would a piece of paper that said you owned a chunk of gold in a basement in London actually be worth? Who’s going to honour it?

If there’s total economic collapse then no one’s paying the police. There’s a break down in the rule of law. Even if you had it in your hands, would some one give you their last can of beans for it, if there was no food to be found?

My point is, when people buy gold to insure themselves against economic collapse, they forget that a post-collapse world would be fundamentally and radically different, and if that is what they’re worried about, a piece of paper that says they own some fairly useless metal isn’t going to save them.

And before you say I’m missing the point that QE is debasing the USD, and inflation is inevitable… if that’s your argument, look at the inflation data. 5 years into QE inflation is falling not rising.

Who knows how it’s going to end? It’s radical stuff. But there is nothing to say that it has to end in hyper-inflation. If there was such a certainty, then it would have been priced into the market already.

Nope, the gold boom was a gold bubble. The further we get from economic calamity, the more it will unwind.

So if you want to speculate, buy something else. If you want insurance, buy a shot-gun and a bunker of canned food.

And if you want to invest, buy property.

But you knew I’d say that, didn’t you?

Filed Under: Blog, Most Popular, Property Investing, Real Estate Topics, Share Market

Invest like you'll live forever…

October 11, 2013 by Jon

Dice and Money

Imagine I offered you a bet.

Let’s say I’m an eccentric millionaire (not such a stretch). I’m going to toss a coin. If it comes up heads, I pay you $7000. If it comes up tails, you pay me $4000.

Would you take it?

Would the prospect of winning 7 grand of my money be worth the prospect of losing 4 grand of your own money, when both have an equal chance of happening?

Would you do it?

Now, if you’re like most people, this bet simply just isn’t worth it.

I’m not saying ‘like most people’ because I’ve actually been out there roaming the streets trying to play odd gambles with strangers, like some cross between Willy Wonka and Donald Trump. Psychologists and economists have studied gambles like these (mostly in the abstract), and found that typically, people just don’t go for bets like these.

But why exactly don’t we like this bet? The ‘expected value of the bet is:

(50% x $7000)
+
(50% x -$4000)
= $1500

That is, it’s positive. The expected return of this gamble is positive. In economic theory, you’re taught that people like gambles like these. From a purely economic perspective, it’s a good bet.

But again, economics has given us something that is true in theory, but wrong in practice. So it’s over to the psychologists to come up with an explanation.

There’s a few related constructs that help explain this future of the mind, but central among them is a concept called ‘loss aversion’.

Studies show that losses loom much larger in our mental view of the world than similar sized gains.

Know the saying ‘a bird in the hand is worth two in the bush’? We value things we have much more (2x more according to that proverb) than things we don’t have, but could have.

And we’re hard-wired to hate losing things.

This can create some interesting quirks. What if I put on my Willy Wonka hat again and offered you a gamble that offered a 10% chance of winning $95, and a 90% chance to lose $5.

Would you take it?

What if I offered you a lottery ticket that had a 10% chance of winning $100, and a 90% chance of winning nothing. The ticket cost $5.

Would you buy it?

If you’re like most people (in the experiments) you’re much more likely to go for the second bet than the first.

But check the maths again. Those two gambles are exactly the same. They’re just framed in different ways.

In one, there’s the prospect of losing $5. In the other, there no prospect of losing anything, but there is a small expense.

There’s no practical difference, but when the mind is distracted from the prospect of a loss, it takes a more objective view of the bet.

As humans, we just don’t like losing. And we’ll go out of our way (even avoiding favourable gambles) to avoid it. It’s a principal called ‘loss-aversion’ in economics, and if you look for it, you’ll see it everywhere… (insurance, anyone?)

But losses are also a relative concept. If we were talking 7 cents rather than 7 grand, you’d probably feel differently about the bet (though perhaps not about the weird Willy Wonka dude hassling you on the street.)

Or what if I was offering the bet to poor little orphan Annie? What would you recommend? What about if I was offering the bet to David Koch? What then? The perceived weight of the losses changes, and with it, so does the attractiveness of the bet.

Now I’m not saying that there’s anything wrong with being loss adverse. In fact it seems entirely rational, and if you weren’t loss adverse there might be something wrong with your brain.

But as investors, we need to know that our brains are hardwired this way. And we need to be on our guard in case overly focussing on the losses blinds us to some attractive bets.

Now, let’s come back to our bet for 7 and 4 grand. What if I said I was going to run the bet 100 times? Flip the coin 100 times. Then what would you say?

Suddenly this border-line dodgy bet seems like a great deal. Your mind has probably already intuited out the kind of gain you could expect.

100 coin tosses is going to come down somewhere pretty close to 50 heads, 50 tails. The expected value is now $150,000. You’ll definitely lose individual tosses from time to time, but there is a very small chance that you’ll actually lose money over all.

It’s a no brainier. Of course you’ll take the bet. Thanks Willy Wonka dude.

But the odds of any individual bet haven’t changed. Only the number of times the bet is taken.

In my experience, successful investors can do this. They’re able to put their bets in the context of a long series of bets, and this makes them more likely to take the opportunities that arise.

Think about it this way. What kind of returns would you need from an individual property investment? What about if you imagine a lifetime of property investing, maybe over 100 properties? What kind of odds would you need then?

See how it changes?

Of course it’s easier once you actually have 100 properties under your belt. But there’s nothing to stop you thinking like a pro, straight from the get go.

That’s what I do. I approach every investment, not just on it’s individual merits, but as if it were just one of a life times worth of investments (which I know it is).

I know I’m not going to back a golden winner with every investment. But I know if I get a good system in place, over the long run, I’m practically guaranteed to come out way, way ahead.

And certainly more than if my loss-adverse brain kept me on the sidelines.

Yep, that’s my motto: Party like you’ll die tomorrow. Invest like you’ll live forever.

You can quote me on it.

Filed Under: Blog, General, Most Popular, Success

Revealed: Do you have to be Smart to be… Rich?

September 19, 2013 by Jon

OLYMPUS DIGITAL CAMERA

One of the key misconceptions I see holding people back is the idea that they don’t have the ‘smarts’ to be rich.

Maybe they never went to Uni. Maybe they didn’t do that great at school. Maybe they can’t tell their iPhone from their iPad.

And so they think, ‘well I’ll never be rich. Smart people earn good money, and I’m not smart people.’

But you need to ditch this idea right now. Nothing could be further from the truth, and it’s holding you back.

And you know, I can understand where the misconception comes from. It might be easier to imagine a rich doctor than it is a rich waiter.

And like a lot of misconceptions it’s based on a kernel of truth. A recent study based on US Census data found that there is a strong correlation between education and income. It found that over an adult’s working life, on average:

  • High school graduates should expect to earn $1.2 million;
  • Those with a bachelor's degree, $2.1 million;
  • Those with a master's degree, $2.5 million;
  • Those with doctoral degrees, $3.4 million;
  • And those with professional degrees, $4.4 million.

So the more educated you are, the more income you earn.

But there’s two components to this equation. Part of it has to do with intelligence – they vague term used to describe brain efficiency. But a lot of it just has to do with training. If you train in an area that is valuable to a lot of people, then you’re going to make money from it – kind of regardless of how intelligent you are.

And if you’re a freaking genius, but you go off and do a masters and a post-doc in the 12th Century neo-feminist literature of upper Yorkshire, it’s unlikely that you’ll be able to turn that into serious earning power.

So being smart, doesn’t necessarily mean that you’ll earn more.

Secondly, earning more doesn’t necessarily mean you’ll be rich. Income is just one aspect of wealth. It’s what we do with the money we earn, where we invest it, that determines how ‘rich’ we’re going to be.

Personally, I think we get too hung up on technical intelligence. These are the kinds of things that I.Q tests measure. How fast you process information, make computations, calculate and make decisions.

But we now recognise that this is a very narrow way to define brain functioning. And if you think of all the wonderful things the human being is capable of – making art or music or love or other people laugh… then technical intelligence – our ability to understand what 2+2 is – is probably also the least interesting form of intelligence.

In recent years, we’ve expanded the definition of intelligence out to include ‘emotional intelligence’, and that’s a start. We’ve recognised that our ability to negotiate complex social relationships is an almost miraculous feat. And our ability to do it well can often be the difference between success and failure in life.

And so more and more, companies are rating the emotional intelligence of their employees as highly as their IQ.

But I think we can go even further with our definition of intelligence, and I’d like to introduce the term ‘value intelligence’.

By that I mean our ability to successfully relate to the things we value. And most importantly, to differentiate between the things we think we want, and the things we actually want in life.

Take my friend Roz.

Happily married in the suburbs, she bought herself a second-hand Mercedes A-Class as a little run-about. I’m not sure what Mercedes were doing when they built the A-Class. Horrid little fart-box of a thing if you ask me.

Anyway, a couple of weeks ago, the water-pump in Roz’s car goes. Back in the day when I used to roll in a Toyota Celica, if the water pump went, I’d call up George, and two hours and a carton of beer later, problem solved.

But I caught up with Roz the other day. Guess how much it cost her to fix it?

5 grand.

Yep. Five thousand dollars! To fix a water pump! You can buy a whole car for 5 grand, and a decent one at that.

5 grand. And for what? The water pump on a little run-about. Maybe it might drive a little better than other cars in its class, but Roz wouldn’t be one to notice. So what are you paying for? Slightly better quality, or that dinner-sized Mercedes badge on the front?

It’s the kind of dumb decision that millionaires rarely make.


Hang on, what? I thought millionaires were all about the flashy cars and diamond rings.

Nope. Some are. But most aren’t.

According to Dr. Thomas J. Stanley, the best-selling author of The Millionaire Next Door and an expert in the habits and attitudes of wealthy people in America, millionaires rarely splash out on bling.

Stanley found that the vast majority of millionaires in the US:

  • Live in a house that cost less than $400,000.
  • Do not own a second home.
  • Have never owned a boat.
  • Are more likely to wear a Timex than a Rolex.
  • Do not collect wine and generally pay less than $15 for a bottle.
  • Are more likely to drive a Toyota than a Beemer.
  • Have never paid more than $400 for a suit.
  • Spend very little on prestige brands and luxury items.

No, they know that their hard-earned money is too valuable to waste on things that are simply about putting on a front.

That’s not to say they don’t enjoy their money. Of course they do. But when they splurge, they splurge on things they actually enjoy. They buy a Porche because they really love the way it drives, not because they’re trying to live up to some one else’s ideals.

I mean, take your own ambitions for example. What do you truly value? My bet is that quality time with your friends and family, free of financial stress, will rate much higher than wow’ing the neighbours when it really comes down to it.

This is value intelligence. To be able to think and act (and spend and invest) in a way that is aligned with your values.

So if you think you don’t have the smarts to be truly rich, forget it. It doesn’t matter. The question you should ask yourself is, ‘do I know what I truly want?’

If you can figure this out, and hold yourself to it, then you’re half way there.

And I can get you the rest.

Filed Under: Blog, Most Popular, Success

Coming home to the lucky economy…

August 22, 2013 by Jon

Australia

Man, it’s good to be home.

I love travelling, but there’s nothing like walking back into the house you love, all the familiar smells and quirks, the plumbing where it’s supposed to be, drooling into your own pillow once more….

It’s good to be home.

Travelling is a gruelling adventure. Totally worth, but it does take it out of you. Even when you’re spending most the day by the pool drinking cocktails, like I was.

Oh to be 18 again. With legs to run me up and down the Eifel Tower all day. It gets harder as you get older. And we’re only getting older. That’s why I’m trying to squeeze in as much travel as I can now. No one’s organising Contiki tours for senior citizens.

(Now there’s a gap in the market.)

Let me lay one of my favourite travel quotes on you:

“To travel is to discover that everyone is wrong about other countries.” – Aldous Huxley

Good ‘ol Mr Huxley. Locking yourself in a room and eating LSD is a difficult road to the truth, but he got there.

And this quote cuts right to it I reckon. It certainly struck me travelling around Greece. The media here had primed me to expect riot cops on every corner, students with stones and Molotov cocktails, desperate grandmothers selling their record collections and the cutlery from a blanket in the town square…

But it wasn’t as bad as all that. Not even close. Sure, things are tough. Really tough. And it’s taken a toll on the national mood. But life goes on. The business of living – doing what you can to earn a buck, catching up with your friends, eating, drinking, fighting, making love… it goes on.

Life has it’s own will and it’s own energy. And we’re a very adaptable species. And if we have others to share our misery with, over a couple of glasses of ouzo, then we will count our blessings, take heart from the things that really matter, and get on with it.

This is a good lesson for investors. Our fears always have a bark that’s worse than its bite. We run through worse case scenarios. What if property prices took a 20% hit? The picture we paint in our minds is horrifying. We’re dressed up like some gypsy refugee, begging for bread, unable to upgrade our i-phone 4’s.

But in places where the worst case scenarios became a reality (like Greece), life isn’t a disaster. There’s some adjustment to be made of course, and adjustments are painful in the short term. But often it gets people focused on the things that really matter – our family, our connections, our selves… all the things that money can never buy.

And our ‘quality’ of life never takes the hit we think it will.

What’s the lesson in this? Don’t let the size of your imagined fears put you off.

How about another travel quote?

“A boat in the harbour is safe, but that’s not what boats are built for… Twenty years from now you will be more disappointed by the things you didn’t do than by the ones you did do. So throw off the bowlines, sail away from the safe harbour. Catch the trade winds in your sails. Explore. Dream. Discover.” – Mark Twain

If you let your imagined fears – the sum of all worse case scenarios – prevent you from taking action, you’ll regret it in the long run. Whether it’s travel or investing, it doesn’t matter. The bold and adventurous get more out of life.

But look at me. I spent two weeks swanning around Mediterranean bars and you think I’d single handedly crossed the Sahara or something.

But it’s an important lesson for right now, I reckon. I was only gone a couple of weeks, but it feels like a couple of months. Am I wrong, but has market mood shifted a huge step since I’ve been gone?

Suddenly the outlook’s a lot brighter than it was.

A lot of it has to do with the surprise result that Europe managed to grow it’s way out of recession in the June quarter, ending 18 months of GDP slide. Growth of 0.3 percent was a solid surprise to the upside, though the burden still falls to ‘old Europe’ with Germany leading the way. 0.5 percent growth in France was encouraging though.

If you look at this graph (of quarterly growth), Europe is now levelling pegging with the US, who has also returned to form. It’s a very encouraging sign.

Euro and US GDP Growth

At the same time, business confidence across the G7 (the seven biggest and most important economies) is bouncing back. Minack Advisors have cobbled this chart together from various national indicies.

G7 Business Confience

It’s rough on a level sense, but it’s the relativities that are instructive. And on that measure, looks like we’re back to the pre-GFC average – or where we were in the middle of the ‘09 boom.

For Australia, this is fantastic news. We’ve been relying on an Asian driven mining boom to keep us striding along while the rest of the world dithered. But now, even though the mood also seems to suggest China is on a good track now anyway, looks like we might now be able to rely on the rest of the world for a bit of export support.

That’ll be a nice change. A very nice change.

And these changes will dominate anything that going on domestically – even the election…

One last travel quote for you:

“The whole object of travel is not to set foot on foreign land; it is at last to set foot on one’s own country as a foreign land.” – G. K. Chesterton

Coming home, I’m reminded of just how special Australia is, and just how lucky we are. As investors, as citizens, as families. I’m lucky to call Australia home.

And it is very, very good to be home.

Filed Under: Blog, General, Most Popular, Overseas Real Estate

  • « Previous Page
  • 1
  • 2

Newsletter

Join over 217,477 Wealth Seekers and Get No B.S. Timely and Valuable Education On The Latest Trends An Opportunities To Make Money Today.


Popular Stories

Power Challenge 3/8: Take the Reins

Your opportunity to win an I-pad – and make a full-power start to the year. … [Read More...]

Power Challenge 4/8: Radical Honesty (e.g My writing is crap)

Your opportunity to win an I-pad – and make a full-power start to the year. … [Read More...]

Connect with us online

  • Facebook
  • YouTube
  • Terms and Conditions
  • Privacy Policy
  • Contact

Copyright © 2021 Knowledge Source